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When there's one quake on a fault line, it's statistically likely there will be more. Tsunamis, less likely, but it can happen. I'm not sure what the timeline would be on that.
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Hopefully people will actually be evacuated this time, but I don't know. All the warning really means is that they need to watch really carefully to make sure a tsunami isn't developing and people on the coasts should get out.
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But see, that's the thing; last time, there was a warning issued, but there was no warning system in place in the local areas to warn the people living there.
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As far as I can tell, the only country that hasn't issued a Tsunami warning is India.
8.2 on the Richter scale always has the possibility of tsunami, the equipment out there to measure this (that picked up 8.2) is incapable of determining if the correct (vertical) waves were of the right type and sufficient magnitude to cause it. We'll be in the dark for a while.
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She's talked about going swimming in the Indian Ocean before, though, like it was close enough to go do so on a whim.
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Another string of sensors placed the quake at 8.5 It's true that a fault that has one earthquake is likely to have another one soon after, but not both this big. There's still a reasonable chance for no Tsunami though, and this quake, despite being huge, is smaller than the last one...
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Hobbes, I grew up in earthquake country. We had a lot of education on this. One earthquake that big does significantly increase the chances of another big one on the same fault line.
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posted
Well there's not enough statistical data to really make predictions on earthquakes that score a 9.0 (as December's did). The thing is though that fault perturbations between these two plates are not cause by the slip-shear that is the problem here in America, it's a plate growth/shrinking phenomena and it should have such large earthquakes so close together. Well once again within the amount of data we have, which is very little.
Initial predictions are that the Tsunami from this quake will propagate largely through unpopulated waters. Let's pray that this is true.
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posted
Significant damage is beginning to be reported directly from the earthquake itself (I haven't seen anything on casualties though), no word on the Tsunami (or hopefully, lack there of).
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Google has a link to earthquake news on their home page--have they ever donr that before on a news event?
quote: An official says hundreds of buildings were badly damaged on an island that was closest to the epicenter of the quake, and dozens of people may be buried in the rubble.
But the official says fears of a tsunami didn't come to pass.
The island (Nias) is a well-known surfing spot. It was badly hit by the December quake and tsunami that killed more than 170-thousand people.
The U-S Geological Survey -- which initially said the quake had a magnitude of eight-point-two -- now says a later reading puts it at eight-point-seven. The December quake registered a nine-point-oh
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For the record, it was 8.7, there have been numerous aftershocks with the last one a 5.7 at 4:37 MST. A tsunami can be generated with an 8.0 or above quake.
There was a small tsunami generated that struck the Cocos island with little damage. 296 people are confirmed dead in Indonesia.
It was not the same fault as 26 December altough in the vicinity of the earlier quake. The depth was much less, coupled with the variance of ocation of the teutonic plates resulted in little tsunamigenic activity.
A warning was issued immediatley by the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center recommending an evacuation which many countries in the region did.
It appears that perhaps some lessons were learned from the last one.
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I got an email from my sister this morning, saying that she and her husband woke up from the shaking. They live in Male in the Maldives. That was my first clue. I mention it to Fahim, who nonchalantly says something like, "Yep, I know. 8.7." And that's about all I get out of him.
Now I'm off to do more research on this.
We live about 15 miles inland. 100 miles would be around the centre of the country - it's a small country! But yes, if we're at home sleeping, we're safe from tsunamis, except the kind you get in movies like Deep Impact.
Okay, whoever wants my phone number, let me know! Just please, don't wake us up in the middle of the night! We're at GMT +6.
And I'm off to check news reports now. I haven't read a thing about it yet except this thread. Sigh. What a sad addiction - first place I come to for my news is Hatrack!
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quote:Matthew 27:50-51- And when Jesus had cried out again in a loud voice, he gave up his spirit.
51 At that moment the curtain of the temple was torn in two from top to bottom. The earth shook and the rocks split. 52 The tombs broke open and the bodies of many holy people who had died were raised to life.
quote: Vice President Jusuf Kalla told the el-Shinta radio station in Jakarta that the death toll could rise to 1,000-2,000, based on the amount of destruction to buildings. Other officials said the dead numbered in the hundreds, not thousands.
I heard on the noon news that they are having major aftershocks, like 5.5 and higher, still. And because of the instablity of the area caused by the December quake, they are expecting there to be yet another "big" quake off the coast of Sumatra sometime in the near future.
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The dead start walking Farmgirl and I'm buying a shotgun.
That said, the tsunami apparently unearthed a number of ancient temples off the shore of India, so that could be construed as bringing the holy back to life.