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Topic: Election Results, anyone?

Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

quote:
Looks to me like Bush is pulling ahead in Ohio. 52-48.

But see the post re: counties with large cities above. The county with Toledo has 3/4 in and the county with Cincinnati has only 1/3 in. Both are likely to continue to bring in votes for Kerry.

Same reason as for the Madison/Milwaukee influence noted by PG above.

Colorado's cities are also coming in late, but the probable call for it was Bush overall. Don't know how that will end up.

[ November 03, 2004, 12:25 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

That's more than doable.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

That above post was towards Mike, Ohio's still at 4% spread, 77% reporting.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Dagonee
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Member # 5818

posted

Cincinatti is more Republican than Democrat.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

3% spread now, 79% reporting.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

That's right, Dag. ALthough it's close so far in that county at 51 Bush and 49 Kerry.

Now Ohio overall at 51 Bush 48 Kerry with 79% reporting, per CNN.

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Defenestraitor
Member
Member # 6907

posted

CNN's model just gave Colorado to Bush. 237-188

Fox's model just gave Oregon to Kerry. 210-151

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

(Thanks! I should have remembered Cincinnati's conservative side -- my aunt is an active Democrat there.)

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Mike
Member
Member # 55

posted

Kerry now needs in excess of 55.63% remaining votes in Ohio.

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Dagonee
Member
Member # 5818

posted

I wish they'd put the major city names in with the county names on the breakdown screens.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

My call for Bush remains. [For the whole thing, not just Ohio]

Hobbes [Smile]

[ November 03, 2004, 12:31 AM: Message edited by: Hobbes ]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

The senate is now officialy R.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

As a side now, the local state rep I was really pulling for (and voting for [Big Grin]

) has won, this is purley an Indiana matter, but hey, I'm excited. [Big Grin]

(It's Joe Micon for those other Purdue people)

Hobbes [Smile]

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blacwolve
Member
Member # 2972

posted

I've totally stopped watching CNN and am reading this thread instead.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

82% in, 51 to 49 at Ohio now.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Sean
Member
Member # 689

posted

Does anyone know how many absentee votes came in in Ohio and when they're counted?

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Mike
Member
Member # 55

posted

56.5%.

Yeah, if Ohio goes to Bush, there's no chance Kerry will win.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Iowa is far, far closer, 1% spread (Kerry leading 50-49), 76% reporting.

Hobbes [Smile]

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kaioshin00
Member
Member # 3740

posted

Dan Rather cracked a funny;)

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Dagonee
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posted

Republicans just picked up a Senate seat in Louisiana, so they pretty much can't lose the Senate now.

Dagonee

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Another percent comes in for Ohio [82 reporting now] (same spread).

Hobbes [Smile]

[ November 03, 2004, 12:41 AM: Message edited by: Hobbes ]

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Mike
Member
Member # 55

posted

Kerry needs 57.3% of the remaining Ohio vote. Not counting absentee ballots.

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Dagonee
Member
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posted

The gap just widened in Ohio by about 10k (after narrowing by that much about 10 minutes ago).

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Bush
2,355,323 51%
Kerry
2,218,407 48%

(In Ohio, 83% reporting)

Hobbes [Smile]

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Dagonee
Member
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posted

Fox just called Ohio for Bush.

I think they're jumping the gun a little, although I think Bush will win it.

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Sara Sasse
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Member # 6804

posted

CNN overall has 246 Bush and 195 Kerry

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Narnia
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Member # 1071

posted

Fox News just called Ohio for Bush...has any other network done the same?

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Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

Sara, I saw MSNBC call 207 for Bush, 199 for Kerry...and Fox has 266 for Bush and 211 for Kerry.

It's so confusing!!

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kaioshin00
Member
Member # 3740

posted

dan rather says kerry's lead in iowa is 'as thin as turnip soup'

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

CNN Ohio at 52 to 48 with 83% reporting

[ November 03, 2004, 12:46 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

He's right about Iowa, about 20,000 vote difference right now.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Actually, 15,000 is closer.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Sara Sasse
Member
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posted

I know, Narnia. It's all so arbitrary in so many ways.

Thanks for the other updates.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

It's coming down to Ohio, and I am sticking with my page one prediction for Bush.

If Bush wins, that's it, if Kerry takes Ohio, then it'll be a real battle, we'll be up all night.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Noemon
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posted

Yeah, I think FOX is being premature also. I have a bad feeling that they're right, but I think it's too early to call it either way.

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Dagonee
Member
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posted

The Fox Ohio call was based on an analysis of the outstanding precincts. No one else so far.

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Belle
Member
Member # 2314

posted

Bush has been declared winner in Ohio - unless there is the upset of the century in Alaska - he will be re-elected.

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Narnia
Member
Member # 1071

posted

MSN:

Bush 246
Kerry 207

I won't believe anything until someone is sworn in in January. [Big Grin]

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Alcon
Member
Member # 6645

posted

Folks are you forgetting how absurdly biased for Bush Fox is? Don't listen to em, none of the others have called it.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

It's me they're trusting Alcon, everyone should've just gone home after I called the race a couple hours ago. [Razz]

Hobbes

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Dagonee
Member
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posted

You know, you could at least dispute their reasoning.

They were right about Florida last time. [Smile]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Back to a 4% spread in Ohio, still 83% reporting.

Hobbes [Smile]

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Belle
Member
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posted

Um...did you listen to their reasoning for calling it? The margin is too high for Kerry to make up, the outstanding precincts are not in democratic areas.

New Mexico is looking good too. That would put it over 270.

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Bush
2,364,527 52%
Kerry
2,224,184 48%

83 % reporting in Ohio

Hobbes [Smile]

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imogen
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posted

Remember, Fox were the ones who first called Bush last election.

Sure that was the *eventual* result - but many people think they called it way to early.

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Synesthesia
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posted

*totally frustrated out of my brain*

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Mike
Member
Member # 55

posted

My Kerry-to-win-Ohio index sits at 58.0%. (Edit: the amount that he needs of the remaining, that is.)

[ November 03, 2004, 12:52 AM: Message edited by: Mike ]

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Hobbes
Member
Member # 433

posted

Back to 3 % spread.

Bush
2,372,359 51%
Kerry
2,232,442 48%

84% reporting

Hobbes [Smile]

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Sara Sasse
Member
Member # 6804

posted

Cyahoga still only has 76% in, at 65% Kerry.

Franklin has 91% in, at 53% Kerry.

Hamilton has 44% in, at 52% Bush.

Lucas has 84% in, at 61% Kerry.

A lot of the smallest counties still not much in are Bush territory. It is quite close, IMHO.

(The 4 largest cities are at about [70-80]% in, all together. I don't see how that tips decisively to Bush--yet.)

[ November 03, 2004, 12:56 AM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]

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Defenestraitor
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posted

NPR: Bush 246, Kerry 216

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