Hatrack River Forum: Dear Ernesto,

This is topic Dear Ernesto, in forum Books, Films, Food and Culture at Hatrack River Forum.

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Posted by pH (Member # 1350) on :

Don't be a hater. I would be sad.

-pH

Posted by Storm Saxon (Member # 3101) on :

Florida needs a tropical storm or two to cross, actually.

Posted by pH (Member # 1350) on :

I think it should just turn all the way back out into the Atlantic. I know it won't happen. [Frown]

But I think by the time it would hit Florida, were it to do so, it would be a category 2 and no longer a tropical storm.

-pH

Posted by aspectre (Member # 2222) on :

NWS TPC / National Hurricane Center
5:04 AM EDT [Hatrack time] Sun Aug 27 2006

...Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicates that Tropical Storm Earnesto has now reached hurricane strength...

Posted by pH (Member # 1350) on :

A new picture.

I'm keeping an eye on this one. I figure I'll do laundry and pretty much prepare as though I might have to evacuate because if it happens, this time I think people will start getting out of here on Tuesday.

-pH

Posted by ChevMalFet (Member # 9676) on :

The projections on this one are really uncharacteristically unsure, and that storm track isn't very informative. noaa.gov and tropicalstormrisk.com give much better data.

Posted by pH (Member # 1350) on :

Well, they might be keeping them unsure because last year, they said Katrina was hitting Florida until the last minute.

Hooray for the cone of uncertainty.

-pH

Posted by ChevMalFet (Member # 9676) on :

Could be, but it feels more like the development situation is outside their domain of experience. And to clarify, I'm referring specifically to NOAA's official forecast.

Posted by Derrell (Member # 6062) on :

I just heard that all visitors have been told to leave the Florida Keys. It's still a category one storm. Maybe it'll stay that way, or lose strength.

*crosses fingers*

Posted by Stan the man (Member # 6249) on :

From my buddy Elliot who is a meteorologist:

quote:
Hey guys, looking at the new model guidance, this thing looks like it may hang a right and rip a Charley and go right into FL, possibly as a major hurricane sometime middle/late next week.

'Course these aren't really all that predictable.

Posted by Derrell (Member # 6062) on :

Jeb Bush has declared a state of emergency in Florida.

Posted by ChevMalFet (Member # 9676) on :

I'll say. Katherine Harris is running for Senate.

But meteorologically, it looks like Cuba is going to take one from the team and Ernesto won't exceed Cat 1.

Posted by Libbie (Member # 9529) on :

Good luck to you, pH (and the rest of the southeasterners), whatever happens. I'll be thinking happy thoughts for you!

Posted by JennaDean (Member # 8816) on :

Ugh, every single computer model has Ernesto going straight through Florida. Two of them have it hitting my house ... the rest look like it'll go farther south, but it looks like SOME of us are definitely going to be in its path this time!

Excuse me ... gotta go buy some batteries. [Wink]

Posted by ChevMalFet (Member # 9676) on :

Looks like the entirety of the country dodged the hurricane. Ernesto has been relinquished to Tropical Storm status.

Posted by The Rabbit (Member # 671) on :

Ernesto has now been downgraded to a Tropical Depression.

Do you think that Prozac could help with that?

Posted by BlackBlade (Member # 8376) on :

quote:
Originally posted by The Rabbit:
Ernesto has now been downgraded to a Tropical Depression.

Do you think that Prozac could help with that?

Perhaps but doesnt "Tropical Depression" sound like an oxymoron?

Posted by katharina (Member # 827) on :

I'm wasting away again in margaritaville...

Nah, I don't think so. [Smile]

Posted by Icarus (Member # 3162) on :

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/gulfvs.html

The current loop has it almost over us now, and all we have is some drizzle.

What was it like in South Florida?

Posted by B34N (Member # 9597) on :

It's pouring in NC, got some hail earlier.

Posted by pH (Member # 1350) on :

quote:
Originally posted by Icarus:
http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/gulfvs.html

The current loop has it almost over us now, and all we have is some drizzle.

What was it like in South Florida?

Apparently NASA doesn't think it's bad enough to put the shuttle away.

-pH