posted
As the weather in Philly and in the major cities in Ohio is unseasonably pleasant, I think John Kerry is going to take PA and Ohio. I don't know what the heck is going to happen in Florida. You gator rasslin' citrus farmers are a mystery to me, but I think those two states are enough to push the electoral college vote to John Kerry. I could be wrong, but my prediction is that he's going to take it, buoyed by the record setting voter turnout of people who weren't considered in the polls of "likely voters".
edit: Anyone else want to get their election predictions in under the wire? The best would be including what factors led you to make your decision.
1) Who wins the election 2) Who wins the election after the first recount 3) Who wins the election after all the lawsuit jimmer jammer 4) The date when all recounting and/or lawsuiting is over.
Posts: 3243 | Registered: Apr 2002
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posted
That's good news about the weather. I wonder how much of a factor it will be nationally?
quote: my prediction is that he's going to take it, buoyed by the record setting voter turnout of people who weren't considered in the polls of "likely voters".
I agree. I think the "likely voter" modeling this year is highly suspect, and I think the 18-30 age group is underrepresented in the polls, therefore Kerry will win more votes than polls predicted and will WIN!
Posts: 6316 | Registered: Jun 2003
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I'm refusing to contemplate the possiblity that Bush will win, which is unrealistic but highly comforting.
Posts: 4655 | Registered: Jan 2002
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I'm predicting a President Edwards administration for two years followed by more two years of Bush after which Bush will attempt to run for a third time on the basis that he served less than half of his second term. Seriously, MSN's final prediction was 269-269.
Posts: 3446 | Registered: Jul 2002
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I am cautiously expecting that Kerry supporters will be called upon to be gracious, coalition-building winners. No waving of the heinie in anyone else's face, no spiking the ball. Just "okay, where do we start first, how can we do this together."
But I have to admit, my hat's off ( ) to The Daily Show's Election Night 2004: Prelude to a Recount.
quote:Live from The Daily Show's news centre in New York, host Jon Stewart will helm The Daily Show's coverage of what promises to be another election horror show.
but also
[ November 02, 2004, 04:40 PM: Message edited by: Sara Sasse ]
Posts: 2919 | Registered: Aug 2004
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quote:I'm not going to even bother predicting until after the swimsuit competition.
(Just when I thought nothing could make the political campaigns any uglier, MPH shows me just how wrong I can be.)
Posts: 4344 | Registered: Mar 2003
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posted
Too much PeptoBismol. It has bismuth as an active ingredient, which is why you should never never ever give it to infants.
I'll be okay. Glaphyra has granted me some leniency from the nausea. Takes my mind off the scary parts.
Posts: 93 | Registered: Nov 2004
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Huh, it didn't happen in Ohio. Well, just like I would have made you people carry me around on your shoulders and hailed me as a great prognosticator if the election had turned out the way that I said it would, I now offer myself up to be tarred and feathered and then run out of town on a rail. It's only fair.
Posts: 10177 | Registered: Apr 2001
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